June 24, 2006From Richard Lloyd Parry in Tokyo
WHEN Junichiro Koizumi, Japan’s Prime Minister, flies to North America next week, one engagement stands out above all others in his programme of summit diplomacy.
It is not the meetings on Iraq and bird flu with George W. Bush and Dick Cheney. It is not the state banquet at the White House or the visit to Arlington National Cemetery.
The key moment of this trip comes next Friday when the Prime Minister will board Air Force One and fly to Memphis, Tennessee.
There, accompanied by Mr and Mrs Bush, he will tour Gracelands, the former home of Elvis Presley and now a shrine to the man who had the same kind of impact on popular music as Mr Koizumi has had on Japanese politics.
This will be Mr Koizumi’s last visit to the United States before stepping down in September, and the Gracelands pilgrimage epitomises his style of leadership.
Before he came to power five years ago, the Japanese Prime Minister was traditionally the misfit of international diplomacy — the one sitting on the edge of the group photo, who spoke only when spoken to, and whose name everybody kept forgetting.
Mr Koizumi has brought to the job a sense of humour and flair for informality that have transformed the superficialities of Japanese diplomacy.
Meetings between US and Japanese leaders used to be earnest occasions, but when George and Junichiro (as they call one another) appear side by side, they behave like old friends.
Their personal rapport has brought their countries closer than at any time since the US postwar occupation of Japan, and led to historic changes in Japan’s engagement with the outside world.
After years of diplomatic underachievement, Japan under Mr Koizumi has moved closer to the international top tables. But many Japanese fear that they have paid an excessive price for their country’s newly elevated profile — the alienation and enmity of their nearest neighbours, China and South Korea.
When Mr Koizumi became Prime Minister in April 2001, he was not expected to have such an impact on international affairs. His passion was for domestic reform, but with the terrorist attacks on the US on September 11, 2001, he found himself faced with a crucial choice: how closely to ally himself with George Bush?
Public opinion was against involvement in the War on Terror, but Mr Koizumi ignored it, as he ignored majority opposition to the invasion of Iraq.
Instead, he pushed through legislation to allow Japanese troops to take their most active overseas role since the Second World War. Japanese sailors supported US and British warships off Afghanistan.
Five hundred Japanese troops were sent to carry out humanitarian work in southern Iraq after the invasion; it was announced last week that they would soon return home. Mr Koizumi joined Tony Blair and John Howard, thr Prime Minister of Australia, in the small group of leaders with whom Mr Bush seems to share a genuine trust.
This may have helped him in 2002 when he took the unexpected decision to fly to North Korea to meet its dictator, Kim Jong Il, and ask for the return of Japanese citizens abducted during the 1970s and 1980s. The Americans were attempting to isolate Pyongyang at the time, but if they were put out by Mr Koizumi’s boldness, they never hinted at it in public.
But the same question haunts Mr Koizumi as haunts Tony Blair: in return for your loyal support, what has George Bush done for you? For years Japan has been politely pressing its case for permanent membership of the United Nations Security Council as a dedicated UN member that pays a disproportionate amount of the organisation’s costs. Mr Koizumi’s Government aligned itself along with Brazil, Germany and India in the so-called Group of Four.
But last year, when the whole plan seemed to be moving forward, Condoleezza Rice, the US Secretary of State, abruptly announced that the US would not support it. This is an insignificant difficulty compared with Mr Koizumi’s biggest problem — the drastic decline of Japan’s relations with China and Korea.
It stems from a single and easily removable cause, the annual visit that the Prime Minister insists on making to Tokyo’s Yasukuni Shrine, where Japan’s war dead, including executed Class A war criminals, are worshipped as Shinto deities.
Mr Koizumi’s insistence that he goes there to pray for peace has done nothing to dissolve the rage of those populations once colonised by Japan.
Hu Jintao, the Chinese President, and Roh Moo Hyun, the South Korean President, both refuse to meet him. Japan’s organisation of top executives has given warning of the damage that the dispute threatens to do to the country’s businesses.
Yesterday Japan’s Supreme Court dismissed a claim for damages from Chinese and Korean plaintiffs for mental anguish caused by the Yasukuni visits. How quickly this damage can be repaired depends on who succeeds Koizumi — the leading contender, Shinzo Abe, has hinted that he may not go to the shrine.
But the harm to Japan is great and may well eclipse the gains that Mr Koizumi has brought to Japan by the exercise of his charm.
GOOD STATESMANUS relations Japan has never been closer to, or more trusted by, the country that it relies on for its defence
US troops go home After long negotiations, 8,000 US Marines are to be removed from the island of Okinawa
Military revival After decades constrained by the "peace constitution", Japanese troops are taking part in overseas operations
Charisma He is the first Japanese prime minister whose name people can remember
POOR STATESMANNeighbours No postwar prime minister has been more hated or shunned by China and South Korea over the Yasukuni Shrine visits
UN Attempts to gain a permanent seat on the Security Council have been rebuffed by the US
North Korea Japan’s insistence on the return of its abducted citizens has prevented the normalisation of diplomatic relations
Stubbornness Mistrust caused by shrine visits will take a long time to overcome
MORE LINKS from The Times (London):
• June 18, 2006
Tokyo's PM goes on Presley pilgrimage
• June 2, 2006
Dress rehearsal on a catwalk reveals the politicians who want to be a model leader
• May 26, 2006
Premier's pilgrimage to King





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