Sunday, December 31, 2006

Distinguished Grad Takamichi Sekine

Takamichi Sekine, LL.M. '91, is a professor at the School of Policy Studies, Kwansei Gakuin University, where he teaches courses in the areas of Environmental Law, Comparative Environmental Law, Environmental Assessment. He is also legal adviser for Japan's largest environmental organization, the Nature Conservation Society of Japan, and a member of the Environmental Center of the Japan Bar Association. Takamichi recently won a major environmental case in Japan, when the Naha District Court ordered former Okinawa Governor Masahide Ota to pay approximately 328 million yen ($3 million) in damages to his client, an environmental group. The governor was charged with illegally implementing development projects in an area inhabited by rare birds. Takamichi continues to actively pursue environmental cases in Japan which are likely to become significant precedent for the coming decade.

http://www.lclark.edu/dept/elaw/grad_sekine.html

Takamichi Sekine, LL.M. '91:

Professor, School of Policy Studies, Kwansei Gakuin University

Legal adviser for Japan's largest environmental organization, the Nature Conservation Society of Japan

Brought landmark case to conserve Okinawan dugong

http://www.lclark.edu/dept/elaw/graduates.html

Saturday, December 30, 2006

Okinawa governor eyes revised airfield plan for Futemma relocation

Dec 29 09:36 AM US/Eastern
NAHA, Japan, Dec. 29 (AP) - (Kyodo)— Okinawa Gov. Hirokazu Nakaima has suggested a revision for the Japan-U.S. plan to build new V-shaped runways in relocating the U.S. Marine Corps Futemma Air Station, local political sources said Friday.

The idea is to build one runway more offshore than in the original plan for an airfield with two 1,800-meter runways in a V-shaped formation using the coastal area of the U.S. Marines' Camp Schwab and nearby landfill areas in Nago, according to the sources.

Nakaima's proposal is based on a projection that flight paths to and from the airfield will not come over nearby communities in Nago if it is moved slightly offshore from the current plan, which would require only one runway, the sources said.

The governor, who succeeded Keiichi Inamine earlier this month, has expressed his acceptance of the bilateral plan to relocate the Futemma Air Station to another part of Okinawa from a densely populated area in Ginowan.

But he won the gubernatorial election in November with a pledge to oppose the planned airfield with V-shaped runways, and has hence suggested his new idea to a locally elected parliamentary member of the ruling Liberal Democratic Party, the sources said.

If the Japanese government accepts the proposed revision, chances will increase that the local government will give the green light to the relocation plan -- a major pillar of the Japan-U.S. accord in May on realigning the U.S. military presence in Japan, they said.

Nakaima was quoted as saying in a meeting Dec. 9 in Okinawa, the day before he assumed office, "Wouldn't it be possible to make it with one runway somewhat more seaward?"

Participants in the meeting agreed to the idea, according to the sources.

But the central government's response is unpredictable as Nakaima's idea is similar to a U.S. proposal, which was opposed by Japan during the course of negotiations due to worries that opponents to the relocation could again block the envisaged offshore construction.

The initial Japan-U.S. accord for relocating Futemma to an offshore airfield in Nago had stalled for a decade due in part to protesters blocking construction.

The latest idea, however, could be a basis for discussions as Defense Agency Director General Fumio Kyuma has informally told his deputies to consider the possibility of revising the current Futemma relocation plan.

While the Nago municipal government has accepted the new airfield plan in the May bilateral accord, Tokyo has yet to gain approval from the Okinawa prefectural government. Under current laws, landfills for airfield construction require authorization from the Okinawa governor.

Thursday, December 28, 2006

Kyuma tells deputies to mull possibility of revising Futemma plan

Dec 28 02:23 AM US/Eastern
TOKYO, Dec. 28 (AP) - (Kyodo)— Defense Agency Director General Fumio Kyuma has told his deputies to consider the possibility of revising the current Japan- U.S. plan to relocate the airfield functions of a U.S. military base in Okinawa Prefecture, agency sources said Thursday.

Kyuma has also informally told some representatives of local governments concerned with the relocation plan, which is opposed by the Okinawa prefectural government, that the central government intends to deal flexibly with the issue, the sources said.

Kyuma asked the agency's Vice Minister Takemasa Moriya and other officials to see whether a revision was possible, apparently as part of efforts to gain acceptance of the central government's plan by the southernmost island prefecture, they said.

But it is unclear whether a revision is feasible or whether the government can come up with a revised plan that is acceptable to Okinawa, according to the sources.

Agency officials generally view Kyuma's move unfavorably, given that any revision to the latest plan finalized in May by the Japanese and U.S. governments would require readjustment of the scheme in agreement with Washington, they said.

"The relocation will not move forward if the plan is changed frequently depending on the (Okinawa) governor's wishes," an agency source said.

The latest plan involves building an airfield with two runways in a V- shaped formation in Nago using the coastal area of the U.S. Marines' Camp Schwab and some landfill areas nearby to replace the heliport functions of the U.S. Marine Corps Futemma Air Station, now in a densely populated area in Ginowan.

The Nago municipal government has accepted the new airfield plan, but Tokyo has yet to gain approval from the Okinawa prefectural government. Under current laws, landfills for airfield construction require authorization from the Okinawa governor.

New Okinawa Gov. Hirokazu Nakaima reiterated his opposition to the plan during talks earlier in the week in Tokyo with representatives of the central and related local governments.

One proposed revision would involve moving the V-shaped runways slightly to the southwest from the current plan and shortening the construction period, the sources said.

Monday, December 25, 2006

Kyuma to mull moving forward Futemma relocation schedule

Dec 25 03:27 AM US/Eastern
TOKYO, Dec. 25 (AP) - (Kyodo)— Defense Agency Director General Fumio Kyuma said Monday, at a meeting between representatives of the government and local authorities regarding the relocation of a U.S. military base in Okinawa, that he will consider moving forward the relocation schedule currently planned for completion by 2014, national government officials said.

Kyuma's remarks are believed to have come in response to demands by new Okinawa Gov. Hirokazu Nakaima that the government should bring the U.S. Marine Corps Futemma Air Station to a state of virtual closure in three years to eliminate the danger it poses to the densely populated area of Ginowan where it is located.

"It is important to complete it before 2014," Kyuma was quoted by the officials as saying in reference to the Japan-U.S. plan to build an airfield with two runways in a V-shaped formation on the coast and to landfill an area in Nago in and around the U.S. Marines' Camp Schwab.

He also sought the understanding of the Okinawa prefectural government over the current relocation plan, finalized by the Japanese and U.S. governments in May, because Nakaima said in his campaign for the Okinawa gubernatorial election in November that he opposes the plan.

Nakaima said the current relocation plan was decided without considering the opinions of Okinawa Prefecture and he asked the central government for an "appropriate response," the officials said.

Kyuma told reporters after the talks, "I said I am sorry and it is regrettable if (Okinawa) views the situation that way and said we will discuss the matter fully from no on."

The Okinawa governor said in a press conference following the consultative meeting, "It is one or two steps forward that (the government has said) it will make efforts to tackle the issue, but it is not perfect yet."

Nakaima said he hopes the government will show a specific response that heeds the demands of the southwestern prefecture.

Monday's talks at the prime minister's official residence represent the second consultative meeting between the central and local governments on the Futemma relocation issue and the first to be held after both Prime Minister Shinzo Abe and Gov. Nakaima took office.

The participants agreed to meet again in January, the officials said. The first consultations took place in late August.

Although Abe did not attend the August meeting -- when he was chief Cabinet secretary -- Yasuhisa Shiozaki, who succeeded him as the government's top spokesman, said he attended the meeting on Monday in line with Abe's decision to listen to local government representatives as part of the government's efforts to coordinate U.S. military realignment.

The Nago municipal government has accepted the new airfield plan, but Tokyo has yet to gain approval from the Okinawa prefectural government. Under current laws, landfills for airfield construction will require authorization from the Okinawa governor.

Nakaima, who took office earlier this month, is seen as showing more flexibility on the Futemma issue than his predecessor, Keiichi Inamine. The former governor was strongly opposed to the latest Japan- U.S. plan to build the two runways to replace Futemma's heliport functions and called for relocating the airfield outside of Okinawa.

The Futemma relocation is a main pillar of the overall plan for the realignment of the U.S. military presence in Japan, which also includes moving 8,000 U.S. Marines from Okinawa to Guam and dispersing flight drills from congested bases to other facilities across the country.

Sunday, December 24, 2006

Japan to boost spending on missile defense in FY 2007

Dec 23 08:23 PM US/Eastern

TOKYO, Dec. 24 (AP) - (Kyodo) — The Cabinet approved Sunday the government's plans to boost spending on a missile defense system to 182.6 billion yen ($1.54 billion) in the next fiscal year and newly set aside subsidies to convince local communities to accept the realignment of U.S. forces in Japan.

The spending on the missile defense being co-developed with the United States marks a rise of 42.7 billion yen, or 30.5 percent, from the initial budget for the current fiscal year. This is part of the overall defense budget of 4,801.6 billion yen for fiscal 2007 beginning April 1, down 12.3 billion yen, or 0.3 percent, for the fifth straight year of decline.

The defense budget approved by the Cabinet is some 3 billion yen more than the Finance Ministry's draft released Wednesday due partly to an increase in the subsidies for local communities hosting U.S. bases and costs for reorganization in the Defense Agency. But the amount is still short of the agency's request for a 1.5 percent increase to 4,863.6 billion yen.

The decision to boost the outlays for Japan's missile defense capabilities comes after North Korea test-launched ballistic missiles in July and put the region around the countries into unease.

The government's plan includes upgrading of Aegis destroyers and the Patriot missile system to make them capable of ballistic missile defense.

In the budget for the coming year, the government will also set aside a total of 7.2 billion yen in connection with the planned U.S. military realignment, with some 5 billion yen earmarked as subsidies for related local communities to convince them to cooperate.

Japan and the United States in May concluded their final realignment plan despite many local communities opposing the plan.

The other 2.2 billion yen is to cover a number of on-site surveys in local communities hosting U.S. military bases, including 1.0 billion yen to conduct an assessment of possible environmental impacts from the planned relocation of the heliport functions of the U.S. Marine Corps' Futemma [Futenma] Air Station in Okinawa Prefecture to the coastal area of Camp Schwab in Nago in the prefecture.

The fifth consecutive year of cuts in spending by the government on national defense comes as a result of its continued cost-cutting efforts that range from methods of purchasing equipment to more efficient use of facilities.

For example, the government will reduce the cost of eight F-2 fighter jets to 105.6 billion yen from 121.8 billion yen by buying them together in a one-year contract rather than separately over two years.

Wednesday, December 20, 2006

Gov't, Okinawa to hold 2nd meeting on Futemma base relocation

Dec 20 04:41 AM US/Eastern
NAHA, Japan, Dec. 20 (AP) - (Kyodo) — The Japanese government will resume talks with Okinawa Prefecture on Monday after a four-month hiatus in hopes of gaining their cooperation in realizing a Japan-U.S. agreed plan to relocate a U.S. Marine Corps airfield within the prefecture, a government source said Wednesday.

The Okinawa prefectural government will demand that the U.S. Marine Corps Futemma Air Station be brought to a state of virtual closure in three years at the latest to eliminate dangers it has been posing on densely populated Ginowan where it is located, the source said.

Japan is eager to proceed with the plan it agreed with the United States in May to relocate Futemma's heliport functions to a new airfield to be built at the U.S. Marines' Camp Schwab in Nago in the northern part of Okinawa.

The Nago municipal government has accepted the new airfield plan, but Tokyo has yet to gain the nod from the Okinawa prefectural government. Under current laws, landfills for the airfield construction will require authorization from the Okinawa governor.

Yoritaka Hanashiro, who heads the Executive Office of new Okinawa Gov. Hirokazu Nakaima, has said in a prefectural assembly committee, "Unless the government presents specific measures to eliminate the dangers (of Futemma), we will not proceed to the next stage of discussions."

Nakaima, who took office last week, is seen to have shown more flexibility on the Futemma issue than his predecessor, Keiichi Inamine. The former governor has called for relocating the airfield outside of Okinawa and was strongly opposed to the Japan-U.S. plan to build two runways in a V-shaped formation on the coast and landfill area in Nago.

The previous meeting between the central and Okinawa local governments was held Aug. 29.

The relocation of Futemma is a main pillar of the overall plan for the realignment of U.S. military presence in Japan, which also includes moving 8,000 U.S. Marines from Okinawa to Guam and dispersing flight drills from heavily concentrated bases to other facilities across the country.

A draft budget for defense spending in the next fiscal year presented by the Finance Ministry on Wednesday earmarked some 5 billion yen as subsidies for the affected local communities to convince them to cooperate.

Saturday, December 16, 2006

Approach paths limited for new U.S. airstrip

Wednesday, Dec. 6, 2006
Kyodo News

Japan and the United States agreed Monday to place aircraft approach lights only at the seaward-most ends of the two runways planned for the U.S. Marine Corps Camp Schwab near the city of Nago, government sources said.

The move is aimed at keeping the aircraft traffic pattern away from populated areas.

Photo: Approach lights will only extend off the seaward-most ends of the two runways planned for the U.S. Marine Corps Camp Schwab in Okinawa, thus off the lower end of the left leg of the V and the upper end of the right leg.

The accord was reached after Japan rejected a U.S. request for approach lights extending from both ends of both 1,800-meter runways, which are to be in a V configuration. However, U.S. military aircraft may have to fly over residential areas in emergencies.

Senior foreign and defense officials from the two countries worked out the agreement in a meeting Monday in Tokyo, the sources said.

Sources familiar with the trans-Pacific relationship said last month that the U.S. had requested that its military aircraft be allowed to land or take off using both directions of both runways. Tokyo rejected the request, they said.

The runways will straddle the tip of Cape Henoko and extend offshore on both ends.

They are to be built at Schwab as a replacement for the U.S. Marine Corps Air Station Futenma farther south in the city of Ginowan.

Japan, which wants to limit approach routes, rejected the U.S. request because allowing four approach routes would conflict with the central government's promise to local authorities to keep the flight paths away from residential areas.

In April, the Defense Agency struck a deal with Nago and four towns and villages in the vicinity to build two runways in a V pattern, with the seaward-most ends extending approximately northeast and east-northeast into Oura Bay.

The airport is to be built by 2014 and is not to be used by fighter planes.

The Futenma and marine relocations in Okinawa are key elements of a comprehensive package of measures to step up integration of Japanese and U.S. forces as part of Washington's military reorganization.

The dispute between Okinawa and the central government over the Futenma relocation has dragged on for a decade as it involves a complex mixture of factors, including noise and safety issues, local sentiments and environmental concerns.

Deal done: Lawless

A visiting U.S. defense official implied Tuesday that Okinawa is unlikely to get a response from the United States on its demands to change the plan for moving the Futenma air base in Ginowan.

"We do not get involved in the discussions between the local community and the central government," Richard Lawless, the deputy defense undersecretary for Asia and Pacific affairs, said.

Friday, December 15, 2006

Keeping Japan 'Onside'

December 15, 2006
By Richard Halloran

In Tokyo many years ago, an Australian intelligence officer under cover as a business executive was asked what was his nation's fundamental interest in Japan.

In a flash, he blurted out: "To keep Japan onside."

That was in the middle of the Cold War between the United States and the Soviet Union. The Australian's mission was to help prevent Japan, which then harbored a strong Marxist left wing, from slipping into the orbit of the Soviet Union.

Today, Australia and the United States are engaged in a similar task of keeping Japan "onside" even though relations among Tokyo, Canberra, and Washington seem sound. Prime Minister John Howard of Australia and Prime Minister Shinzo Abe of Japan agreed last week to begin negotiating a new trade pact. The U.S. and Japan are working out details of a realignment of U.S. forces in Japan.

Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice and Deputy Secretary of Defense Gordon England met in Washington last week with Foreign Minister Alexander Downer and Defense Minister Brendan Nelson of Australia to discuss, among other things, U.S.-Australia-Japan security cooperation.

It is the long run that concerns Australian and American diplomats. They are intent on encouraging the Japanese to continue shucking the pacifist cocoon into which they retreated after the devastating defeat of World War II and to be more active internationally. At the same time, America and Australia are eager to keep Japan from slipping under the influence of China.

And Americans and Australians who are students of Japan have noted the revival of a nationalist streak in Japan, the consequences of which are unpredictable. Japan is not a volatile nation; indeed, most changes come slowly. The Japanese, however, have long felt isolated from the rest of the world.

The president of Japan's Defense Academy, which educates officers of all services, wrote last week that Japan had become "sulky and angry, driven by self-respect and exclusive nationalism." Makoto Iokibe noted that his nation had "reacted keenly to anti-Japan campaigns in China and South Korea."

Australians and Americans have thus sought to reassure the Japanese that they are valued allies. In some respects, Australians share Japanese anxieties. Australia is culturally, politically, and economically a Western nation of 21 million people. Geographically, however, it is situated next to an Asia where it lacks major allies and therefore looks to the U.S. as it main protector.

Chinese diplomats have looked askance at the emerging three-way alliance and complained that it is part of a U.S. conspiracy to "contain" China. All three deny it, an Australian diplomat saying: "This has nothing to do with China. This is all about Japan."

A trilateral dialogue among Australian, Japanese, and U.S. senior officials started in 2002. Then began a "track two," or unofficial, dialogue among Japanese, Australian, and American scholars, security specialists, and former officials. They met, for instance, at the Asia Pacific Center for Security Studies, the educational and research center in Honolulu, in 2004.

Last March, Secretary of State Rice, Japan's foreign minister, Taro Aso, and Foreign Minister Downer met in Sydney to raise the dialogue to ministerial level. Beyond discussions of China's rising power, North Korea's nuclear threat, and Burma's jailing of political prisoners, were talks about responding to the potential influenza pandemic in Asia. A second meeting is to be held in early 2007 in the U.S.

On the long-term question of Japan's isolation, a scholar at the Asia Pacific Center, John Miller, has written that Japan has long been an "outlier," a nation "in" but not "of" Asia. In pre-modern times, Japan refused to pay tribute to China, unlike Korea and Vietnam, and went into seclusion. Since then, Miller wrote, Japan has "oscillated" between Asia and the West.

In the late 19th Century, Japan became a Western-style industrial and military power, and carved out an Asian empire in which Japan sought to drive Western powers from Asia. That led, in 1945, to Japan's catastrophic defeat and occupation.

In the postwar era, Japan again embraced the West, reinvented itself as a democracy, and succeeded in becoming an economic powerhouse. At the end of the Cold War, Miller wrote, Japan seemed ready to reject the West again in favor of seeking the leadership of Asia. Instead, Japan tilted toward the U.S.

Miller concluded: "It is as yet unclear where the Japanese will find a balance among an Asian role, the American alliance, and a 'normal' international political role." That assessment seems to motivate Americans and Australians who want to keep Japan "onside."

Wednesday, December 13, 2006

U.S. Marine Corps helicopter drops car into sea in Okinawa

Dec 13 08:08 AM US/Eastern

NAHA, Japan, Dec. 13 (AP) - (Kyodo) — A U.S. Marines Corps helicopter dropped a disused vehicle into the sea about 200 meters off a U.S. Army installation in the village of Yomitan, Okinawa Prefecture, at around 4:15 p.m., the Marines said Wednesday.

The CH-53E helicopter ran into turbulence after taking off at the U.S. Army's Torii Station and released the car into the sea to ensure the safety of the crew and the chopper, they said.

The nonmilitary car was being transported to an airfield on the island for use in an exercise, the Marines said, adding it will later retrieve the vehicle from the sea.

The Naha Defense Facilities Administration Bureau requested the U.S. military to investigate the incident and ensure safety in the area. Village officials will decide on their course of action on Thursday, they said.

In the village in 1965, a fifth-grade girl was crushed to death when a trailer that was descending by parachute in an exercise missed its target on the ground and fell on her.

The Marines said the helicopter's flight path was set over the sea to avoid flying over residential areas.

New Okinawa governor aims to curtail Futenma flights


By David Allen and Chiyomi Sumida, Stars and Stripes
Pacific edition, Wednesday, December 13, 2006

NAHA, Okinawa — Okinawa’s new governor on Monday lost no time in tackling the thorny issue of replacing Marine Corps Air Station Futenma.

During his first press conference since taking office Sunday, Gov. Hirokazu Nakaima said he will seek to halt most aircraft activity at the controversial air station within the next three years.

He says he wants to reduce Futenma’s activity level “so that the air station would be the same state as being closed.”

“I give the central government three years to make it happen,” he said. “I expect the government to take necessary actions, leaving no avenue unexplored.”

He said his primary goal is “to remove the danger that the air operations poses to the local community.”

In August 2004, a Marine helicopter crashed on the campus of Okinawa International University, located adjacent to the base. No one was killed, but helicopter parts damaged the school’s administration building and several homes and other property in the surrounding neighborhood.

In a broad plan to realign U.S. troops in Japan, the U.S. and Japan agreed last May to replace MCAS Futenma with a new facility on Camp Schwab. The air station is to be finished by 2014. At that point MCAS Futenma would be closed, as would Camp Kinser, the Naha Military Port, Camp Lester and part of Camp Foster. Also, some 8,000 Marines and their families would be moved to Guam.

However, Nakaima is insisting on some sort of short-term relief for the citizens of Ginowan, where Futenma is located. He is pushing for a visible change in MCAS Futenma flight operations within three years.

Nakaima has consistently stated that although he opposes some elements of the present plan to move Marine flight operations to a new facility on Camp Schwab, he remains “flexible” and willing to negotiate changes with Tokyo.

“What was unacceptable is the fact that the plan was agreed over the head of Okinawa,” he said.

However, he said he is taking into account the desires of the people of northern Okinawa, where the mayor of Nago, where Camp Schwab is located, and other area officials have accepted the plan.

“While listening to intentions of local communities including Nago, I will also listen to voices of entire Okinawa,” Nakaima said. “The new military airport is an issue not only for local communities but the entire Okinawa.”

Tuesday, December 12, 2006

Japan seeks Futemma substitute facility built 3 yrs ahead of schedule

Dec 12 12:26 AM US/Eastern
TOKYO, Dec. 12 (AP) - (Kyodo)— Japan has launched studies to complete the construction of a planned new airfield on existing land and landfill at the U.S. Marines Corps' Camp Schwab in Nago, Okinawa Prefecture, in 2011, three years ahead of schedule, to speed up the relocation of the heliport functions of the Marines' Futemma Air Station, government sources said Tuesday.

Defense Agency Director General Fumio Kyuma made remarks Tuesday apparently backing up the information, saying, "It's better to hasten the work. One year can be saved if three years of work can be shortened to two years."

"We can put the schedule ahead by shortening the five-year construction period to four years or if (Okinawa's local governments) allow us to first build facilities that have no links with environmental assessment work," Kyuma told a regular news conference in Tokyo.

Originally, the Japanese government planned to spend three years to complete an environmental assessment and five more years to build the airfield and related facilities, in order to complete the construction of the substitute base by the target year 2014.

The government is now studying shortening the periods of environmental assessment to two years and of construction work to three years, the government sources said.

The government is also studying incorporating the new schedule in a substitute base construction plan currently being worked out by Japan and the United States, if agreement is reached with Okinawa's local governments, the sources said.

Japan and the United States have already agreed to relocate the heliport functions of Futemma base, which is located in a densely populated area in Ginowan, southern Okinawa Island, to Nago, which is in the northern part of the island and less densely populated.

The Japanese government and the Nago municipal government have already agreed to build two runways in a V shape around Camp Schwab. The Okinawa prefectural government has not agreed to the plan.

But new Okinawa Gov. Hirokazu Nakaima, who assumed office Monday, has indicated flexibility over the base relocation issue and demanded Futemma base be brought to a state of virtual closure in three years.

Kyuma showed a negative stance to Nakaima's demand, saying it is not so easy because U.S. forces are using the base under the security arrangements with Japan.

"It is more important to build the substitute base at an early date and to remove the danger (of the Futemma base) to residents," he said.

Tuesday, December 5, 2006

U.S. unlikely to respond to local demand to change Futemma move

Japan Policy & Politics, Dec 11, 2006

TOKYO, Dec. 5 Kyodo

A visiting U.S. official on defense said Tuesday that Japan and the United States have already reached agreement on all aspects of U.S. military realignment and implied his government is unlikely to respond to demands by Okinawa Prefecture to make changes to a plan to relocate the U.S. Marine Corps Futemma Air Station it hosts.

Richard Lawless, the U.S. deputy defense undersecretary for Asia and Pacific affairs, told reporters at the U.S. Embassy in Tokyo, "We do not get involved in the discussions between the local community and the central government."

"We have an excellent agreement with the (Japanese) central government that is quite specific, and in fact, we are focused...to make sure to execute on time the commitments we have made to the government of Japan for the entire realignment package," he said.

He added, "Being able to execute on schedule and not disappoint the people of Japan or disappoint the people of Okinawa is our primary concern."

Lawless also said the United States will maintain close cooperation with Japan on establishing a missile defense system at an early time.

Hirokazu Nakaima, who won the Okinawa gubernatorial election last month, has expressed opposition to the current plan agreed on by Japan and the United States to build a new airfield on existing land and new landfill at the Marines Corps' Camp Schwab in Nago in northern Okinawa.
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The relocation of Futemma, currently located in a densely populated area in Ginowan, southern Okinawa, is one of the major issues regarding the realignment plan.

[ Futenma ]

Wednesday, November 22, 2006

Defense chief sees need to extend special law for Iraq assistance

Nov 22 07:38 AM US/Eastern

TOKYO, Nov. 22 (AP) - (Kyodo) — Defense Agency Director General Fumio Kyuma said Wednesday he sees a need to extend the special law allowing Japan to provide reconstruction assistance to Iraq which expires next summer so that the Air Self-Defense Force can continue its aid mission.

"The United Nations' reconstruction assistance will continue for some time. While it continues, Japan must do something, and we should not suddenly change our way," Kyuma said in an interview with Kyodo News.

The four-year duration of the legislation is set to expire in July next year, and the agency chief suggested revising the law to enable the ASDF troops to continue airlifting supplies and personnel between Kuwait and Iraq.

ASDF members began airlifting work from their base in Kuwait to certain airports in Iraq in March 2004 using C-130 transport aircraft, initially to support the Ground Self-Defense Force troops in the southern Iraqi city of Samawah.

But after the GSDF withdrawal from Iraq in July, the ASDF troops expanded their airlifting operations to cover airports in Baghdad and Arbil, considered less stable than the Samawah area, and have been transporting personnel and supplies for the United Nations and the multinational forces.

In relation to a plan to relocate the U.S. Marine Corps Futemma [Futenma] Air Station in Ginowan to the Camp Schwab area in Nago, both in Okinawa Prefecture, Kyuma indicated an idea to build a provisional helipad at Camp Schwab proposed by outgoing Okinawa Gov. Keiichi Inamine would be difficult to realize.

"It is impossible for a military facility to be provisional. There is no way the United States would accept that," Kyuma said, reiterating that he will continue to urge Okinawa to accept the current government relocation plan.

Inamine, who opposes the current government plan, made a counterproposal earlier this year to build a tentative helipad on land at Camp Schwab so people living near the Futemma [Futenma] facility, located in a densely populated area, can avoid the risk of possible accidents involving U.S. military aircraft for the time being.

Hirokazu Nakaima, the governor-elect set to replace Inamine, has also opposed the government plan and said the helipad proposal is worthy of consideration. But he said after winning Sunday's gubernatorial election that he will deal flexibly with the Futemma [Futenma] relocation issue.

Kyuma also said the government is considering introducing a new subsidy system for Okinawa and other local governments affected by the U.S. military realignment in connection with the fiscal 2007 budget.

In a related development, Kyuma met with Chief Cabinet Secretary Yasuhisa Shiozaki, Hidenao Nakagawa, secretary general of the Liberal Democratic Party, and other government and ruling party members Wednesday morning to discuss how to go about holding discussions with the Okinawa government following Nakaima's election as next governor.

Government leaders and LDP executives are scheduled to meet with Nakaima when he visits Tokyo next week.

Tuesday, November 21, 2006

US military plans win boost in Okinawa vote

Nov 20 09:46 AM US/Eastern

Voters in Japan's Okinawa Islands gave a boost to the US military's global realignment plan by rejecting a campaign seeking to scale down the key US deployment, observers said.

But newspapers warned Sunday's vote showed there was still strong opposition to the troops in the southern island chain, which hosts three quarters of the US military facilities in Japan.

Voters elected an ally of conservative Prime Minister Shinzo Abe as governor, rejecting by a margin of more than five percentage points an opposition-backed candidate who wanted to trim the US presence.

Governor-elect Hirokazu Nakaima has favored a less confrontational approach on the troops and emphasized improving the economy of the islands, where unemployment runs at twice the national average.

He told AFP on Sunday: "Basically, negotiations with the United States will be through the central government."

The election result is seen as giving a freer hand to Abe, who wants to strengthen military cooperation between the US and Japan in light of the threat from North Korea, which last month tested a nuclear bomb.

"It will be easier for the government to deal with Okinawa now," Okinawa University president Moriteru Arasaki said. "I think Nakaima will be even softer than his predecessor toward the government."

Nakaima replaces retiring fellow conservative Keiichi Inamine, who reluctantly consented to a plan on US troops after unsuccessfully pushing for a greater pullout.

Japan and the US agreed in May to pull out 8,000 of the 20,000 US troops from Okinawa to the US territory of Guam, part of former defense secretary Donald Rumsfeld's plan for a sweeping realignment of the US military.

Okinawa, which is strategically close to the Taiwan Strait, is home to more than half of the US troops in Japan. Apart from Afghanistan, the only other Asian country with a sizable permanent US military presence is South Korea, where the troops have encountered growing hostility.

The local Ryukyu Shimpo daily said Okinawans to "chose the flexible stance of seeking a stable, independent economy through talks with the government, rather than a head-on confrontation."

"But the central government would be mistaken to think the real intent of Okinawans in the election result was to give the green light for the US military realignment plan," it said in an editorial.

Yasuhisa Shiozaki, the chief spokesman for Abe's government, said the central government wanted to meet as soon as possible with the new governor and "listen carefully."

"It is important to note that the Okinawan public has expressed yet again that its foremost concern is vitalization of the Okinawan economy," Shiozaki said.

Some residents said they were resigned that the future of US troops was out of their hands.

Local leaders unsuccessfully tried to block the US military from deploying Japan's first Patriot surface-to-air missiles in Okinawa after North Korea tested seven missiles in July.

"I don't think it's possible to remove bases from the prefecture," said Chiemi Teruya, 51, who is out of work.

Hitomi Takara, a 36-year-old mother of a toddler, said of opposition-backed candidate Keiko Itokazu: "I was skeptical about whether her stance on US bases was really realistic."

But Masumi Hirachi, a 55-year-old school teacher, was disappointed by the election result.

"The central government is trying to impose more on Okinawa," she said. "I believe Okinawa really should speak out to the national government."

Sunday, November 19, 2006

Nakaima, Itokazu neck-and-neck in Okinawa governor race: Kyodo poll

Nov 19 07:53 AM US/Eastern

(AP) - NAHA, Japan, Nov. 19 (Kyodo) — Ruling bloc-backed Hirokazu Nakaima and opposition-supported Keiko Itokazu are in a neck-and-neck battle in Sunday's Okinawa gubernatorial election, an exit poll by Kyodo News showed immediately after the poll stations were closed at 8 p.m.

The third candidate Chosuke Yara is a distant third, the exit poll showed. All three candidates are seeking their first term as Okinawa governor to replace outgoing Gov. Keiichi Inamine in a race highlighted by the relocation of a U.S. military facility.

Voter turnout was 51.53 percent as of 7:30 p.m., 0.45 point higher than the corresponding time in the previous election in the prefecture with about 1.05 million voters, election officials said.

The result of the election is expected to be known late Sunday. Political circles at the national level are also paying attention as the outcome could influence the implementation of the U.S. military realignment plans in Japan.

Both Nakaima, 67, and Itokazu, 59, oppose the central government's current plan to relocate the U.S. Marine Corps' Futemma [Futenma] Air Station in Ginowan to the Marines' Camp Schwab area in Nago within Okinawa Prefecture by building V-shaped runways on a new airfield on existing land and landfills at the camp.

But Nakaima, a former vice governor, has acknowledged that moving the facility somewhere within the prefecture may be inevitable, while former House of Councillors member Itokazu has repeatedly expressed opposition to creating a new U.S. military facility inside Okinawa and called for it to be moved overseas.

The Japanese and U.S. governments reached a final agreement in May on the scheme to build the new airfield using existing land at Camp Schwab and a new landfill along its coastline by 2014 as part of the U.S. military realignment in Japan.

Inamine opposed the plan and insisted that either a civilian-military airport be built off the shore of Camp Schwab as agreed to in an earlier plan or that the airfield be moved outside of Okinawa, which hosts the bulk of the U.S. military presence in Japan.

Until the current Japan-U.S. accord, the Futemma [Futenma] relocation issue had been deadlocked as the initial plan for an offshore runway over coral reefs off the Marines' camp, agreed to in 1996 by Tokyo and Washington, was stalled due to environmental concerns and opposition from protesters.

Nakaima, who is supported by the ruling Liberal Democratic Party and its coalition partner, the New Komeito party, and also endorsed by the local business community, has emphasized the need to stimulate the local economy with the aim of lowering the unemployment rate.

A former chairman of Okinawa Electric Power Co., he has pledged to continue the policies of the Inamine prefectural administration.

Itokazu, a former member of the local Okinawa Shakai Taishuto (Okinawa Social Mass Party), who was an independent in the Diet's upper house after being elected in July 2004, has gained support from local labor unions and citizens' groups.

She is supported by six political parties, including the main opposition Democratic Party of Japan, the Japanese Communist Party and the Social Democratic Party, and has also received backing from a political group led by independent House of Representatives member Mikio Shimoji, who used to belong to the LDP.

Yara, 54, a clothing sales businessman who heads the local Ryukyu independence party, is seeking independence for Okinawa, saying that would enable the southwestern island prefecture to see off the U.S. military and to achieve a healthy economy.

In late June, Inamine said he will retire when his second four-year term ends in November.

Okinawa voters go to polls to pick new governor

Nov 18 06:38 PM US/Eastern

NAHA, Japan, Nov. 19 (AP) - (Kyodo) — Voters in Okinawa Prefecture went to the polls Sunday to choose the successor to outgoing Gov. Keiichi Inamine, with the relocation of a U.S. military base and local economic concerns among the major issues.

The election is expected to be a close race between Hirokazu Nakaima, 67, a former vice governor who is backed by Japan's ruling coalition, and former House of Councillors member Keiko Itokazu, 59, supported by the opposition camp.

The third candidate is Chosuke Yara, 54, a clothing sales businessman who heads the local Ryukyu independence party.

The result of the election is expected to be known late Sunday. Political circles at the national level are also paying attention as the outcome could influence the implementation of the U.S. military realignment plans in Japan.

Both Nakaima and Itokazu oppose the central government's current plan to relocate the U.S. Marine Corps' Futemma Air Station in Ginowan to the Marines' Camp Schwab area in Nago within Okinawa Prefecture by building V-shaped runways on a new airfield on existing land and landfills at the camp.

But Nakaima has acknowledged that moving the facility somewhere within the prefecture may be inevitable, while Itokazu has repeatedly expressed opposition to creating a new U.S. military facility inside Okinawa and called for it to be moved overseas.

The Japanese and U.S. governments reached a final agreement in May on the scheme to build the new airfield using existing land at Camp Schwab and new landfill along its coastline by 2014 as part of the U.S. military realignment in Japan.

Inamine opposed the plan and insisted that either a civilian-military airport be built off the shore of Camp Schwab as agreed to in an earlier plan or that the airfield be moved outside of Okinawa, which hosts the bulk of the U.S. military presence in Japan.

Until the current Japan-U.S. accord, the Futemma relocation issue had been deadlocked as the initial plan for an offshore runway over coral reefs off the Marines' camp, agreed to in 1996 by Tokyo and Washington, was stalled due to environmental concerns and opposition from protesters.

Nakaima, who is supported by the ruling Liberal Democratic Party and its coalition partner, the New Komeito party, and also endorsed by the local business community, has emphasized the need to stimulate the local economy with the aim of lowering the unemployment rate.

A former chairman of Okinawa Electric Power Co., he has pledged to continue the policies of the Inamine prefectural administration.

Itokazu, the deputy chief of the local Okinawa Shakai Taishuto (Okinawa Social Mass Party), who was an independent in the Diet's upper house after being elected in July 2004, has gained support from local labor unions and citizens' groups.

She is supported by six political parties, including the main opposition Democratic Party of Japan, the Japanese Communist Party and the Social Democratic Party, and has also received backing from a political group led by independent House of Representatives member Mikio Shimoji, who used to belong to the LDP.

Yara is seeking independence for Okinawa, saying that would enable the southwestern island prefecture to see off the U.S. military and to achieve a healthy economy.

In late June, Inamine said he will retire when his second four-year term ends in November.

Friday, November 17, 2006

U.S. to return 2 military facilities in Okinawa to Japan

Nov 17 06:24 AM US/Eastern

TOKYO, Nov. 17 (AP) - (Kyodo)— The United States has agreed to return two military facilities in Okinawa to Japan on Dec. 31 under a 1996 agreement aimed at reducing the huge U.S. military presence in Japan's southernmost prefecture, Japan's Defense Facilities Administration Agency announced Friday.

The two are the Sobe Communication Site and the Yomitan Auxiliary Airfield, both in the village of Yomitan on Okinawa Island.

This paves the way for the United States to hand over a total of about 300 hectares of land to Japan, including two other sites, the Aha Training Area in the village of Kunigami and the Senaha Communication Station in Yomitan, which the United States has already agreed to return, officials said.

They are four of the 11 U.S. military facilities covering about 5,000 hectares which the United States agreed to return to Japan under the 1996 agreement reached at the Japan-U.S. Special Action Committee on Okinawa [SACO].

The SACO agreement calls for the United States to hand over the Sobe site after its functions are relocated to the U.S. Marine Corps' Camp Hansen in the village of Kin on the same island.

The United States had also agreed to return the Yomitan airfield by March 2000 after the Sobe site's functions are relocated.

But their return has been postponed because of a delay in the construction of the communications system at Camp Hansen.

The [1996] SACO agreement calls, among other things, for vacating the Marines' Futemma Air Station in five to seven years on condition that its helicopter functions be relocated within Okinawa. However, Futemma base remains because of the difficulties Japan is encountering in building relocation facilities.

Asked about the slow pace of the handover process 10 years after the SACO agreement, Iwao Kitahara, head of the Defense Facilities Administration Agency, said that the 4,000-hectare Northern Training Area in the villages of Kunigami and Higashi on the northern Okinawa Island accounts for much of the 5,000 hectares the United States has agreed to return.

Kitahara told reporters the Japanese government will make best efforts to secure the handover of the remaining facilities as soon as possible.

Friday, November 10, 2006

Rumsfeld's exit triggers concern in Tokyo

11/10/2006
The Asahi Shimbun

Reacting to the sudden resignation of U.S. Secretary of Defense Donald Rumsfeld, Japan made clear Thursday it is committed to assisting in Iraq's reconstruction and implementing the planned U.S. military realignment here.

While Rumsfeld's departure prompted officials in Tokyo to ponder the ramifications, Chief Cabinet Secretary Yasuhisa Shiozaki touched on concerns Thursday over a plan to relocate the functions of Marine Corps Air Station Futenma in Ginowan, Okinawa Prefecture, to Nago in another part of the prefecture.

The plan, which centers on a new V-shaped runway in Nago, is a major part of the U.S. transformation plan affecting Japan.

"This is something that was agreed on between our governments, and from our position, there is no change in the plan to proceed calmly while gaining public understanding," Shiozaki told reporters.

Rumsfeld and Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice met with Foreign Minister Taro Aso and then Defense Agency Director-General Fukushiro Nukaga in May in Washington to finalize the plan.

In his November 2003 visit to Japan, Rumsfeld stopped by Futenma to see the facility. As a result, Rumsfeld pushed forward on the relocation, officials said.

Rumsfeld and Nukaga also agreed in April, during three hours of intense negotiations, the amount Japan is to shoulder for shifting thousands of Marine Corps troops from Okinawa to Guam.

The Defense Agency and the Pentagon are now working out final details of that relocation.

A senior agency official hinted Thursday at anxiety about future negotiations with Washington. "Rumsfeld was able to sum up various positions on the U.S. side and at the same time reach common ground with Japan," he said.

Taku Yamasaki, chairman of ruling Liberal Democratic Party's Research Commission on Security, commented on Washington's Iraq policy in connection with the Democrat victory in the U.S. midterm elections Tuesday.

"There is bound to be a shift from use of power to priority on dialogue," Yamasaki told fellow party members.

A senior Foreign Ministry official was more pessimistic. "There isn't much choice (on Iraq policy), and whatever means are taken, they don't seem likely to work," the official said.

Meanwhile, Prime Minister Shinzo Abe on Wednesday night emphasized Japan's continued support for U.S.-led efforts in Iraq.

However, the same senior Defense Agency official said Thursday, "(Rumsfeld's resignation) is sure to affect the SDF dispatch to Iraq."

Although the Ground Self-Defense Forces stationed in Samawah in southern Iraq were withdrawn this summer, Air SDF personnel and aircraft are still based in Kuwait to airlift multinational forces and United Nations personnel in and out of Iraq.

The special measures law to support the Iraqi reconstruction, which covers the SDF dispatch, expires in July 2007. To extend it, the government will have to submit a bill to the Diet next year. (IHT/Asahi: November 10,2006)

Friday, November 3, 2006

The Democrats and Defense


By Peter Baker
Friday, November 3, 2006; Page A19

The New Politics of National Security
By Kurt Campbell and Michael O'Hanlon
Basic Books, 319 pp., $26.00

HARD POWER

The last-minute campaign furor over Sen. John F. Kerry's "botched joke" about the uneducated becoming "stuck in Iraq" was no joke for the Democratic Party. Once again, with an election looming, it found itself cast as the peacenik, antiwar, hostile-to-the-military, soft-on-defense, weak-on-terrorists party.

Whether that will stick won't be known until Tuesday. Polls have shown that voters for a change are more likely at the moment to trust Democrats on Iraq and terrorism than Republicans. But that support seems perishable, and even if Democrats win one or both houses of Congress, they face a long-term challenge of redefining their image when it comes to national security.

That's where Kurt Campbell and Michael O'Hanlon come in. Their provocative new book, "Hard Power: The New Politics of National Security," offers a manifesto of sorts for a party still struggling to find its voice in the post-Sept. 11 world. As a party, Democrats have been torn between two poles as represented in the extreme by Joseph I. Lieberman, the hawkish Connecticut senator, and Ned Lamont, the antiwar liberal who beat him in a Democratic primary.

Campbell and O'Hanlon come closer to Lieberman than to Lamont, offering a muscular vision for U.S. power in a dangerous world tempered by the sort of pragmatism they say the Bush administration has been missing. "Democrats must make clear that they, like Republicans, understand that effective diplomacy must often be backed by the credible threat and sometimes use of military force," they write.

In fact, they argue that President Bush has it right in some ways, praising his priorities in terms of promoting democracy and free trade, defeating terrorists, and opening a new relationship with India. "Hard-power Democrats, independents, and moderate Republicans should therefore not run against the Bush legacy on matters of ideas so much as of seriousness, competence, and execution."

This may be a hard sell even within their own party, where the loudest voices these days argue for a radical departure from Bush's policies. A succession of think tanks and foreign policy elites have been trying to counter the angry blogosphere with a more nuanced position for the party, with limited success. If Democrats win on Tuesday, the internal fight over national security will grow even more pronounced. Democrats have prospered this year mainly by being against Bush without coming up with a genuine alternative. If they find themselves in charge on Capitol Hill, they will face pressure to develop a common posture.

Campbell and O'Hanlon bring years of experience and study to the debate. Campbell served as a Pentagon official under George H.W. Bush and Bill Clinton and now works as senior vice president at the Center for Strategic and International Studies. O'Hanlon is a senior fellow at the Brookings Institution and a frequent commentator on foreign policy.

As they note, Democrats have been hobbled for decades by the public perception of weakness. The party of Franklin D. Roosevelt, Harry S. Truman and John F. Kennedy was transformed by the Vietnam War and has wrestled with national security ever since.

Clinton's discomfort with the military -- his awkward initial salute to Marines standing guard at his helicopter, his fight over gays in uniform, his tentative response to Bosnia -- exemplified the problem to many. But during eight years in office, he grew more accustomed to his role as commander in chief, responding more confidently to the Kosovo crisis.

Bush, though, has used the issue against Democrats as a cudgel for years, managing to paint Kerry, a combat veteran decorated for service in Vietnam, as weak on security. This year, Bush has cited votes against his counterterrorism legislation to assert that Democrats do not even want to spy on, detain or try terrorists; he went so far this week as to declare that if Democrats win, so will terrorists.

The authors argue that it is not enough to simply shout back; Democrats, they say, "sometimes try too hard to sound like anti-Republicans -- and wind up weakening themselves more than their political opponents in the process."

Instead, they propose a detailed agenda dealing with homeland security, the military, Iraq, terrorism, nonproliferation, energy and China. They propose increasing active-duty armed forces by 50,000, creating State Department rapid-response teams for post-conflict situations and setting up regional National Guard planning centers to better respond to crises such as Hurricane Katrina or a terrorist attack. They would continue missile-defense development but at a lower level, cut the F/A-22 program in half, revamp the Joint Strike Fighter program, retire more Minuteman missiles and Trident submarines, and cut back the V-22 Osprey tilt-rotor aircraft.

On Iraq, they heartily agree with fellow Democrats that Bush "bungled" the war and "dispelled any notion of innate Republican superiority in matters of international hard power." But they criticize their party's rush for the door. "Democrats have focused mostly on missteps in Iraq. But there has been a less vibrant debate about the potential downsides of a precipitous American military withdrawal and how the dangerously eroding U.S. position in Iraq might somehow be made more promising."

It's a debate Campbell and O'Hanlon want to make more vibrant. If Democrats find the right course, the authors argue, the party has a chance to make a historic shift in the party's political perception. If not, they say, "Democrats are apt to remain on the political sidelines, left to contemplate what went so terribly wrong."

Baker is a White House correspondent for The Washington Post.

Thursday, November 2, 2006

Okinawa mayor protests U.S. missile defense system deployment

Oct 2 12:37 AM US/Eastern

NAHA, Japan, Oct. 2 (AP) - (Kyodo)—Okinawa Mayor Mitsuko Tomon lodged a protest on Monday with the local bureau of the Defense Facilities Administration Agency against allowing the deployment of an advanced surface-to-air missile defense system at a U.S. base in the city without local consent.

The first batch of equipment for the Patriot Advanced Capability-3 interceptor system arrived Saturday in Okinawa Prefecture ahead of the deployment of the system later this year at the U.S. Kadena Air Base and the U.S. Air Force's Kadena Ammunition Storage Area.

The U.S. forces started delivering the equipment early Monday morning from a military port in the Okinawa prefectural capital of Naha to the Kadena base, about 20 kilometers away.

The mayor of Okinawa and the village heads of Kadena and Chatan, which host the Kadena base, earlier agreed to oppose the deployment, saying it will lead to strengthening the functions of the base.

The deployment is being implemented based on an agreement reached between Japan and the United States in May on the realignment of the U.S. military presence in Japan.

The amount of equipment which arrived Saturday is enough to fill some 500 vehicles and will take four or five days to finish carrying. Another, smaller, amount of equipment is expected to arrive at the Naha military port by the end of this week, according to the U.S. forces.

The PAC-3 missiles and launchers are scheduled to be brought within two weeks to a U.S. military facility in Uruma, Okinawa Prefecture.

The United States plans to partially begin the operation of the PAC-3 system by the end of December. It is expected to become fully operational by the end of next March.

The PAC-3 system is designed to intercept incoming ballistic missiles in their final phase, after they have reentered the Earth's atmosphere and have descended to altitudes of just over a dozen kilometers and before they reach their targets on the ground, Japanese officials said earlier.

Wednesday, November 1, 2006

Mayor says U.S. air station in Okinawa failing safety standards

Nov 1 06:30 AM US/Eastern

NAHA, Japan, Nov. 1 (AP) - (Kyodo) — Yoichi Iha, mayor of the Ginowan City in Okinawa Prefecture, said Wednesday the United States is operating Futemma Air Station in the city when the military facility fails applicable safety standards in their homeland, a move apparently aimed at calling on the U.S. and Japanese governments to move toward its early closure.

Iha said the United States defines an area within 4,500 meters from the edge of an air base runway as having the risk of accidents and ban the usage of the land.

Noting that schools and houses are densely built in areas adjacent to the air station in the city center, Iha said "the operation of the base disregards the safety and lives of residents."

In a bilateral agreement struck in May on realigning the U.S. military presence in Japan, Tokyo and Washington plan to relocate the U.S. Marine Corps' Futemma Air Station within the prefecture by building a new airfield by 2014.

Iha told a press conference that "the danger should not be left unattended until then."

"Any accident like the one in which a U.S. helicopter crashed into the Okinawa International University campus could happen," he said.

Three crew members of the helicopter, which took off from Futemma, were injured in the 2004 accident. It sparked an outpouring of protest against the base among local citizens.

Monday, October 16, 2006

International Affairs Forum Interview


October 16, 2006
By Jason Miks

Steven C. Clemons serves as the Executive Vice President of the New America Foundation and is the Director of the Japan Policy Research Institute. He is a founding member of the Coalition for a Realistic Foreign Policy. His blog – The Washington Note – is one of the most widely read such websites in Washington. Steven C. Clemons is also on the Center for International Relations’ Editorial Board. Jason Miks has recently caught up with him in Tokyo for this interview.

International Affairs Forum: You had an op-ed in the Washington Post a couple of months ago warning that political debate in Japan is being stifled by far-right nationalists. What do you see going on here?

Steven C. Clemons: I think what is beginning to happen, why the issue of right wing intimidation of Japanʹs blue chip intellectuals, business leaders and politicians matters, is that for the first time since I can remember, you are seeing cases of self censorship by Japanʹs best and most thoughtful parts of civil society.

The right wingers in Japan have been lurking around politics for centuries, so that is not interesting. But in the Washington Post article I compare this to the 1930s. This is to some degree an unfair comparison because Japan now is nothing like Japan in the 1930s, and I know that. But there arenʹt a lot of good metaphors to show people what is happening.

Also, Japan is cocooned to some degree from a lot of these big conflicts about identity. Many people just avoid it. So it is important to look at these issues when there are times of stress, or crises.

So it is not like we see storm troopers outside. But you do see a kind of thought-control going on. I wrote the piece because of an incident in which the Japan Institute for International Affairs took not just one controversial article, but a whole raft of material, off its website. It was a remarkable act of contrition by one of Japanʹs leading former diplomats, at a kind of official government foreign policy think tank.

What is happening is that Japan got a lobotomy in the 1950s from the United States. And that lobotomy pre-empted a lot of thinking about Japanʹs national interests - about what sort of global engagement it wanted to have, what kind of military forces etc. So now Japan needs to have a discussion with its people about what sort of nationalism it wants to wear. When Junichiro Koizumi became prime minister he began to tack to the right simply to cover himself from attacks from people like Shintaro Ishihara [Tokyo’s ultranationalist governor]. But that opened up an appetite in Japan for more and more flirtation with symbols such as Yasukuni shrine... and an opportunity for the current Prime Minister Shinzo Abe to rise.


While I am thrilled that Abe went to China and seems to be saying a lot of the right things, his career so far has been marked by pugnacious nationalism rather than healthy nationalism. You can look at other nationalists like Ichiro Ozawa [leader of main opposition party the Democratic Party of Japan]. Heʹs not perfect, but heʹs a much healthier kind of nationalist in terms of what a normal nation would look like. And heʹs sometimes also a hawk... so it’s not a question of being a hawk or a dove, it’s a question of whether you can organize your nationalism around both national interests and national security issues and do it in a way so it doesnʹt engage in international rejectionism, which I think is happening.

IA-Forum: Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe surprised many with early visits to China and South Korea. Do you think he recognizes the need to repair relations, or was he prodded by the United States into doing it?

Steve Clemons: I donʹt think he was pushed by America, because I donʹt think America has much influence in this case. I think he was pushed by the prospect of the Upper House elections just around the corner and that when he looks at the polls in contrast to Koizumi, his numbers are already falling, because when people look at him they see a strident nationalist who is making Japan less safe.

This doesnʹt mean people donʹt want to see people confront China over bad behavior or even confront North Korea. I basically support what Japan has done with regard to North Korea. But he is saying a lot of things that, to some degree, alienate the fundamentalist right wing in Japan who are supporting him. This creates tension for them, which I think is a positive thing. But it also creates doubt among the more reasonable or moderate parts of Japanese society about whether he is saying a lot of these things to get along and to be pragmatic about his current political weakness, and whether he will turn back, when he gets through the more difficult times. It may be that we are not seeing the real Abe. In my view we should keep our powder dry and stand back and see what happens.

IA-Forum: Abe got a boost in his political fortunes in the Liberal Democratic Party leadership race by taking a tough line on North Korea, following its missile tests in July. Do you see Abe
trying to exploit the North Korea situation in the future for political gain?

Steve Clemons: He became big because of the abduction [of Japanese citizens by North Korean agents] issue. North Korea has been a useful issue for him to exploit for his own success. Will he continue to milk that? Yes, he probably will. But now that he is prime minister he canʹt just be highly strident. He needs to produce results now. So I suspect that what you will see is a softening, a less crude commentary from him about that, and hopefully he will move in that direction. This is what he has done in his first few weeks in office. I have my doubts about him though. I knew his father very well. In my mind Shintaro Abe was one of the great, under-appreciated, diplomats when he was Minister of Foreign Affairs. He was almost single-handedly trying to solve the Iran-Iraq war. Unfortunately Abe does not remind me much of his father. He reminds me more of his grandfather, [Prime Minister Nobusuke] Kishi, who was much more of a strident, hard-edged nationalist who defined military means as the way for Japan to assert its interests.

IA-Forum: Koizumi was the third longest serving post-war Japanese prime minister. Do you expect Abe to be this successful?

Steve Clemons: At this moment I donʹt. I see him disliked by significant parts of the LDP. If he stays moderate and centrist, he alienates his base. If he moves towards a healthy nationalism, he loses credibility with those who put him in power. If he swings back, he looks duplicitous. I think he has a built-in fragility. But that does not mean he wonʹt find a way to stay around for a while. Koizumi, I would say, was not policy savvy, but he was certainly savvy politically. Thereʹs no doubt that Abe is more ideologically driven than Koizumi was and my sense is that he doesnʹt have the same facility with the art of politics that Koizumi clearly had.

IA-Forum: The current leader of the DPJ, Ichiro Ozawa, once wrote about his vision of Japan as a ‘normal country’. What kind of ‘normal’ would be healthy for Japan?

Steve Clemons: When you compare Japan and Germany in the lead up to the invasion of Iraq, Germany, despite my problems with the anti-Americanism that Chancellor Gerhard Schroeder cultivated, Germany seemed to earn back its sovereignty. It showed that it would be a peer of the United States in common challenges. Japan in contrast turned out to be disappointing in this respect. I think Germany is psychologically better off for it.

A normal nation is one that figures out when it is going to converge with certain interests of other global players and when not. In my view the Iraq war and the way Koizumi sent the Self Defence Forces over was a rejection of the kind of multilateral institution building that Japan had been working hard on.

There are degrees of democracy, but Japan is still a group driven society, which can often be anti-democratic. So when I see right wing thugs engage in intimidation and violence or systematic harassment, I believe it stifles that modern debate from taking place. You canʹt have one wing of the political environment have a disproportionate effect by stifling debate elsewhere. A normal nation has to get over this lobotomy and Ozawaʹs book laid out many of these questions beautifully.
.
IA-Forum: Thank you very much for your time.

Comments? Please send them to editor@ia-forum.org

Sunday, October 15, 2006

International Affairs Forum Op-Ed:


October 15, 2006
By Jason Miks

Too Close for Comfort? Will Japan under Shinzo Abe finally be able
to shed its image as a U.S. satellite state?


Last month British Prime Minister Tony Blair delivered his final speech as Labour leader to the annual party conference. Well-judged and eloquent, it was good enough to make one forget his low approval numbers and left one wondering why he is being pressured to leave the office – despite unprecedented political successes.

One major reason is his relationship with U.S. President George Bush which has alienated even some of his moderate allies. The price of friendship between the two leaders, they argue, was being drawn into the ongoing and costly war in Iraq. But while Blair has beein excoriated at times – at least in Britain – for his close relationship with Bush, he is not the only politician to have his friendship with the US administration questioned. Until late last month, Blair shared the label of “lapdog” with then Japanese Prime Minister Junichiro Koizumi. Indeed, Koizumi’s decision to commit troops to Iraq took him out on a longer limb than Blair. Although Japan’s forces were limited to non-combatant roles, their deployment still set off a fierce debate at home as use of military force in international disputes is expressly barred by Article 9 of the Japanese constitution. And military co-operation between the US and Japan is likely to grow closer still as Japan acts with growing national confidence and heightened concerns over North Korea’s military activities.

The close working relationship that Koizumi and Bush struck up was much in evidence during Koizumi’s trip to the U.S. in June, with the Japanese leader’s reception noticeably warmer than that offered China's President Hu in April. And this closeness has extended well beyond the military sphere. In counter terrorism the two have worked closely on projects such as the Container Security Initiative and in terms of trade Japan is the United States’ fourth largest partner. The warm relation between the two leaders corresponded with the broadly favourable view of the US held by many Japanese – 63 per cent, according to a recent Pew Global Attitudes study. Growing up in the immediate post war period, Kazuhiro Suzuki speaks for many of his generation when he talks of the appreciation he feels for US reconstruction efforts following World War II. “We owe a lot to America,” he told me when I asked his opinion of the occupation. “We imported ideas from them, technology, and they gave us our constitution.”

Indeed he thinks the close security cooperation has been hugely beneficial for Japan’s development since World War II. “The relationship has been very good for Japan because we have not had to worry about defense. America provided that for us, which allowed us to invest in industry,” he added. In the decade following the Second World War this bond was cemented by Prime Minister Shigeru Yoshida, who believed that Japan’s well-being depended on maintaining close political ties with the United States, a focus on economic rebuilding and relying on the US for protection. This so-called ‘Yoshida Doctrine’ has been a dominant feature of Japan’s foreign policy landscape ever since, despite challenges from right and left.

Yet the Koizumi-Bush rapport masks a shift in recent years. Japan has been wrestling with its identity for decades. As its economic bubble burst and after the critical reception of its Gulf war chequebook diplomacy, the question of Japan’s role in the world and its relationship with the US has been hotly debated. Many Japanese feel that they are tied too closely to the US and, though grateful for the security this arrangement has provided, long for greater diplomatic independence.

Such independence has been more in evidence under Koizumi as Japan has been more willing to stand up for itself. A ban on beef imports from the U.S. to Japan – despite intense U.S. pressure – was upheld over BSE concerns. Japan’s refusal of a US request to bear 75 per cent of the costs of relocating 8,000 marines from Okinawa to Guam was another show of increasing self-assertion.

Akihiro Takahara, a 30 year old systems engineer from Aobadai, Kanagawa, believes this independence is a good thing. “I think the partnership between Koizumi and Bush has made the relationship more balanced,” he said. “If a prime minister always says yes, yes, yes, then this is bad. Koizumi has been much more willing to negotiate.”

Takahara sees the changing relationship as something that will continue to evolve as Japan grows in confidence.

“When my parents were growing up people wanted to have what America had. Many people were very poor,” he said when asked about these changing attitudes. “But now Japan is a richer and more advanced country than it was then. We have our own style now and don’t have to follow America as much.”

This change is still lost on some policymakers in the U.S. Congressman Henry Hyde, Chairman of the House International Relations Committee, earlier this year sent a letter to the US House of Representatives’ Speaker to press Koizumi to cease his controversial visits to Yasukuni shrine if he wanted to address Congress. Instead of a pledge to appease the influential congressman, the Japanese response was the diplomatic equivalent of a shrug of the shoulders.

What will be interesting now is to see if this shift continues under new Prime Minister Shinzo Abe. Abe has already made an interesting break with precedent by making his first trip as leader to Beijing, not Washington. Earlier this year, I asked the Political Minister Counsellor at the US embassy in Tokyo whether he thinks the close working relationship between the US and Japan will continue smoothly with the leadership change. He said he believes it will - that the two countries “have more in common than a common enemy” and that the close working relationship was not dependent on a personal relation but largely common values.

As Japan seeks to find its place in the world and becomes increasingly assertive, there will likely be more disputes with the US, regardless of who the respective leaders are. As if to point down that road, this year’s Pew survey also showed plummeting support amongst Japanese for the US-led “war on terror”. So long as the United States government remembers that having a independent minded ally is preferable to a browbeaten one and so long as the United States does not forget the importance of Japan over its understandable focus on China, the future for U.S.-Japanese relations and the Asia-Pacific realm look bright enough.

Friday, October 6, 2006

Cold Comfort: the Japan Lobby Blocks Resolution on WWII Sex Slaves


    By Ken Silverstein
    October 5, 2006 · Washington Babylon

    Even as top congressional Republicans were protecting Mark Foley from exposure for soliciting teen pages, they were simultaneously helping Japan cover up its past record of institutionalized rape and sexual enslavement of Asian women. The Japanese cause was greatly aided by Bob Michel, a highly paid lobbyist and former G.O.P. congressman with close ties to the party's leadership.

    For the past seven years, a coalition of Korean-American, human rights, and religious groups have been pressuring congress to urge Japan to accept responsibility for forcing women and girls into sexual slavery during the World War II era. This shouldn't be terribly controversial, since the historical facts are clear.

    Beginning in the 1930s, Japan rounded up as many as 200,000 women and girls, mostly from Korea, China, and the Philippines, and forced them to serve as prostitutes for its soldiers in order to increase troop “morale.” The Japanese called these sex slaves “comfort women”; many were raped and beaten, and some were killed after they acquired sexually transmitted diseases or became “overworked.” Some of the women were so humiliated that they never returned to their homes after the war, and many of those who did kept quiet about their experiences.

    Japan long insisted that the comfort women were willing prostitutes and only acknowledged the sex slavery system in 1993 after documents discovered in the Japanese Army archives proved its true nature. The Japanese government backed the establishment of the quasi-governmental Asian Comfort Woman Fund in the mid-1990s but it has refused to offer direct compensation. Many of the women and their families have refused to accept money from the fund because they say Japan has never taken responsibility for its actions.

    Japan has always been able to block attempts to pass a congressional resolution on the exploitation of comfort women, partly because it runs a lavishly-funded Beltway lobbying operation. The Bush Administration has quietly assisted in attempts to block a resolution on comfort women. According to Mindy Kotler, the director of Asia Policy Point, a research center on Japan and northeast Asia, the Administration views Japan as the key regional bulwark against an emerging Chinese regime that may be hostile to the United States in the future. “The administration wants Japan to be a central part of America's Asian security architecture—above Australia, India, and the British Navy,” she said. “Any issue that the Japanese have defined as disturbing has been shunted aside to ensure that nothing upsets the alliance with Japan—and I mean nothing, whether it's a trade dispute or taking responsibility for the comfort women.”

    Not long ago, though, it looked like a measure had a decent chance of getting through. The coalition pressing Congress on the issue had traditionally sought to win a concurrent resolution, which must be approved by both chambers. This year the coalition worked for a resolution in only the House, and one was finally brought forth in April by Democrat Lane Evans of Illinois and Republican Chris Smith of New Jersey. The non-binding measure called on Japan to formally “acknowledge and accept full responsibility” for the sexual enslavement of “comfort women” and to stop denying its crimes—for example, by stripping mention of the topic from school textbooks.

    The resolution was referred to the International Relations Committee and quickly gained co-sponsors, which alarmed the Japanese government. Enter Bob Michel, a top Washington lobbyist with Hogan & Hartson and a thirty-eight-year House member from Illinois, who served fourteen years as the G.O.P.'s minority leader. The Japanese government pays his firm about $60,000 per month to lobby on the sole matter of historical issues related to World War II, which also include claims concerning Japan's vile abuses of American P.O.W.s, including the use of slave labor. (Michel, incidentally, is only the most prominent of a small gang of lobbyists which Japan retains to handle World War II issues.)

    Michel, I'm told, met in late May with Illinois Congressman Henry Hyde, chairman of the International Relations Committee. He told Hyde that passing the resolution would be crippling blow to America's alliance with Japan and reminded the congressman that Japan's sexual enslavement of several hundred thousand women had taken place some sixty years earlier—bygones should be bygones. Japan's then–Prime Minister Junichiro Koizumi had already announced that he'd be visiting the United States at the end of June (when he would visit Graceland with President Bush and sing “Love Me Tender” in the Jungle Room) and Michel argued further that it would be embarrassing to Japan if the measure was approved around that time. “The whole deal came to a stop,” says a source who was working to pass the measure. “I've never seen anything like it. We had a lot of momentum and suddenly it was just dead.”

    But the groups working on the issue kept at it and got a big break in September when Hyde shifted gears and backed their cause. He was apparently moved by an emotional trip he made to Korea and two other Asian countries over the August recess. More importantly, Hyde was said to be angered by Koizumi's decision on August 15—the date of Japan's defeat in World War II—to visit the Yasukuni Shrine. More than 1,000 war criminals have their names inscribed in the shrine's Book of Souls, including Hideki Tojo, the wartime prime minister who ordered the attack on Pearl Harbor and who was hanged in 1948. Koizumi's visit provoked outrage across Asia and didn't sit well with Hyde, the last remaining combat veteran of the Pacific campaign to sit in the House.

    With Hyde on board, the source says, “We went from zero to 100 immediately.” Several members of the International Relations Committee did push to soften the resolution (removing, among other things, language that explicitly defined the treatment of comfort women as a “crime against humanity”). The advocates reluctantly accepted those changes, and on September 13, the Committee passed the resolution by unanimous consent.

    Supporters believed the measure was now unstoppable. They expected it would soon be put on the “suspension calendar,” which would allow the resolution to pass the full House with a simple voice vote. The only obstacle to passage at that point was potential opposition from House Speaker Dennis Hastert—also of Illinois, and a former colleague of Michel's—or House Majority Leader John Boehner, who controls the voting calendar.

    On September 22, twenty-five congressional co-sponsors of the measure, including Mike Honda of California, the leading Japanese American in Congress, sent a letter to Hastert and Boehner asking them to bring the resolution to the floor before Congress adjourned for the November elections. But mysteriously, no word was heard from the G.O.P. leadership about when the resolution would be brought to a vote.

    Exactly what happened next is not clear, but word on the Hill is that the Bush Administration, Michel, and other Japanese lobbyists went to work on Boehner—and on Hastert, who reportedly is hoping to be named ambassador to Japan after he retires and who made clear that he was unhappy with the resolution. By last Wednesday, Boehner's office had made clear that the comfort women resolution would not be brought to a vote before the end of the week—a key deadline since Congress would be adjourning until after the midterm elections. (Michel declined to return calls, as did the offices of Congressmen Boehner and Hastert, both of whom may be preoccupied with other pressing matters at present.)

    The measure could conceivably be revived during the upcoming lame-duck session, but for now it looks like Japan has again bought itself victory on the Hill. “The reality is that there is little we can do for the comfort women,” says Kotler. “They've lived with this hell for sixty years and most of them are going to find peace soon. The real importance of the bill is that it would serve as a precedent for going after the miscreants and perpetrators running today's rape camps and help protect future generations of women from similar violence.”